Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.232544 0.263914 0.297451 0.335915 0.378753 0.424935 0.478431
2025-10-05 0.191638 0.233903 0.281995 0.340559 0.409730 0.488600 0.585096
2025-10-12 0.164953 0.214331 0.273582 0.349470 0.443587 0.555943 0.699639
2025-10-19 0.142312 0.195632 0.262731 0.352591 0.468897 0.613367 0.805280
2025-10-26 0.126252 0.182607 0.256612 0.359721 0.498272 0.676423 0.920954
2025-11-02 0.114558 0.173542 0.254044 0.370259 0.531710 0.745725 1.048017
2025-11-09 0.101053 0.160088 0.243702 0.368564 0.547575 0.791743 1.145954
2025-11-16 0.089953 0.148650 0.234727 0.367381 0.563179 0.837335 1.244847
2025-11-23 0.080434 0.138388 0.226230 0.365687 0.577207 0.880682 1.342040
2025-11-30 0.074523 0.133024 0.224399 0.373403 0.604988 0.944542 1.471147
2025-12-07 0.067713 0.125393 0.218212 0.373628 0.621031 0.991541 1.577391
2025-12-14 0.061713 0.118422 0.212339 0.373628 0.636298 1.037639 1.683925
2025-12-21 0.056183 0.111856 0.206830 0.374223 0.653232 1.088283 1.801862
2025-12-28 0.052167 0.107550 0.204708 0.380164 0.679005 1.153833 1.946000
2026-01-04 0.049238 0.104916 0.205192 0.390444 0.712378 1.232891 2.114980
2026-01-11 0.045602 0.100511 0.202090 0.394132 0.734709 1.295092 2.259754
2026-01-18 0.042917 0.097660 0.201514 0.402137 0.764707 1.371022 2.429945
2026-01-25 0.040938 0.096008 0.202984 0.413846 0.801672 1.460036 2.625318
2026-02-01 0.037501 0.090917 0.197415 0.412011 0.814312 1.508444 2.754863
2026-02-08 0.034465 0.086328 0.192388 0.410726 0.827669 1.558417 2.888856
2026-02-15 0.031663 0.081917 0.187303 0.408865 0.839678 1.606343 3.021043
2026-02-22 0.030121 0.080188 0.187528 0.417393 0.871444 1.690242 3.218804
2026-03-01 0.027942 0.076716 0.183790 0.417644 0.887372 1.746415 3.369922